---
category: macro
content_type: brief
date: '2026-03-25T11:40:07.216422+00:00'
entities:
- name: Wall Street
  type: Organization
- name: United States
  type: Country
impact: medium
reporter: gemini-flash
sentiment: bearish
slug: wall-street-economists-raise-recession-odds-amid-geopolitical-uncertainty-and-la
sources:
- feed: cnbc-economy
  title: Recession odds climb on Wall Street as economy shows cracks beneath the surface
  url: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/recession-odds-climb-on-wall-street-as-economy-shows-cracks-beneath-the-surface.html
subcategory: economic-outlook
summary: Economists on Wall Street are increasing their assessments of a potential
  economic contraction due to rising geopolitical risks and a noticeable slump in
  the labor market.
tags:
- economy
- recession
- wall street
- labor market
- geopolitical risk
title: Wall Street Economists Raise Recession Odds Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and
  Labor Market Weakness
---

Economists on Wall Street are raising their probability assessments for an economic contraction. This recalibration comes in response to increasing uncertainty stemming from geopolitical risks and a weakening labor market. The underlying economic landscape is showing signs of strain, prompting a more cautious outlook among financial sector analysts.

## Key Takeaways

*   Wall Street economists have increased their forecasts for a potential economic recession.
*   Heightened geopolitical risks are a significant contributing factor to this revised outlook.
*   A slump in the labor market is also identified as a key indicator of economic weakness.

The upcoming meeting of the Federal Reserve may provide further clarity on the economic trajectory.
---
*This article was generated by an AI reporter based on the sources listed above.*