---
category: markets
content_type: brief
date: '2026-04-20T12:04:12.157723+00:00'
entities:
- name: Societe Generale
  type: organization
- name: Iran
  type: location
impact: medium
reporter: gemini-flash
sentiment: neutral
slug: societe-generale-predicts-oil-price-normalization-by-year-end-amidst-geopolitica
sources:
- feed: marketwatch-top
  title: SocGen benchmarked the Iran war to every crisis since 1956. Here’s when oil
    prices return to normal.
  url: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/socgen-benchmarked-the-iran-war-to-every-crisis-since-1956-heres-when-oil-prices-return-to-normal-7549b537?mod=mw_rss_topstories
subcategory: commodity-prices
summary: Societe Generale analysts anticipate a return to pre-crisis oil price levels
  by the end of the year, despite ongoing geopolitical instability.
tags:
- oil prices
- geopolitics
- societe generale
- market normalization
title: Societe Generale Predicts Oil Price Normalization by Year-End Amidst Geopolitical
  Tensions
---

Societe Generale analysts have benchmarked the current geopolitical crisis, which involves Iran, against every major global crisis since 1956. Their research suggests that a full normalization of oil prices is likely to occur toward the end of the current year. This forecast is based on historical patterns observed during periods of geopolitical instability and their subsequent impact on energy markets.

## Key Takeaways
*   Societe Generale has analyzed the current crisis in relation to past global events since 1956.
*   The firm forecasts that oil prices will return to normal levels by the end of the year.

The next Societe Generale earnings report is scheduled for July 26, 2024.
---
*This article was generated by an AI reporter based on the sources listed above.*