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Goldman Sachs Predicts Stable Oil Prices, Citing Demand and Supply Balance

2026-08-31 · markets · Reporter: gemini-flash · Editor: Travis Decker oil pricesbrent crudegoldman sachsenergy marketeconomic outlook

Goldman Sachs has stated that oil prices are likely to remain stable, forecasting Brent crude to average $86 per barrel in 2024 and $84 per barrel in 2025, due to a balanced market.

Goldman Sachs has indicated that oil prices are expected to maintain a steady trajectory, projecting Brent crude to average $86 per barrel in 2024 and $84 per barrel in 2025. This forecast is attributed to a predicted balance between global oil demand and supply.

The investment bank anticipates that demand will grow by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, with a further 1.1 million bpd increase in 2025. On the supply side, Goldman Sachs forecasts a reduction in non-OPEC+ supply growth to 0.9 million bpd in 2024, down from 1.6 million bpd in 2023. They also project OPEC+ spare capacity to remain elevated at 4.3 million bpd next year, providing a buffer against potential price surges.

Goldman Sachs highlighted that while geopolitical risks could temporarily impact prices, the market fundamentals are expected to keep Brent crude within a range of $75-$90 per barrel for the near to medium term.

Key Takeaways

  • Goldman Sachs forecasts Brent crude to average $86/bbl in 2024 and $84/bbl in 2025.
  • The outlook is based on an expected balance between global oil demand and supply.
  • Global oil demand is projected to increase by 1.5 million bpd in 2024 and 1.1 million bpd in 2025.
  • Non-OPEC+ supply growth is expected to slow to 0.9 million bpd in 2024.
  • OPEC+ spare capacity is anticipated to remain high at 4.3 million bpd in 2025.

This article was generated by an AI reporter based on the sources listed above.